Elections 2016, Trans Pacific Partnership, TTIP: Trade Talk 7-13 November 2016

meting trade globe  Trans Pacific PartnershipDonald Trump won the U.S. presidential election against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on 8 November in what many are describing as an upset. President-Elect Trump’s transition team is now tasked with vetting possible Cabinet officials and lower-level appointees, receiving background briefings from the Obama Administration, and crafting policy proposals based on his campaign promises.  President-Elect Trump will be sworn-in as the 45th President of the United States on 20 January.

TPP – No-Go.  President-Elect Trump remains opposed to the TPP agreement in its current form, and lawmakers on both sides of the aisle continue to express concerns with certain issues in the final deal that reportedly have not yet been addressed by the Obama Administration. Ongoing concerns with the TPP deal include longer intellectual property protections for biologic drugs and concerns with the tobacco industry’s carve-out from the deal’s investor-state dispute resolution mechanism. Shortly after the elections, Republican Congressional leaders in both chambers issued statements indicating the deal will not be brought up for a vote before the end of 2016 and must be revisited after President-Elect Trump takes office. According to a draft 100-day plan leaked by Politico, Trump advisors are proposing the U.S. withdraw from the deal soon after Trump takes office – however, other TPP countries are likely to keep advocating for the deal with the next Administration.

TTIP – On Hold.  With the uncertainty surrounding President-Elect Trump’s trade priorities, European Union Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström said of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) negotiations on 11 November:

For quite some time TTIP will be in the freezer. What happens when it’s defrosted, I think we’ll have to wait and see.”

The EU and United States are not expecting to schedule any more formal negotiating rounds this year.

JCCT Meeting Ahead.  U.S. Secretary of Commerce Penny Pritzker and U.S. Trade Representative Michael Froman will host the 27th session of the U.S.-China Joint Commission on Commerce and Trade (JCCT) next week in Washington.  Vice Premier of the State Council Wang Yang will lead the Chinese delegation.  U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack is also expected to join the JCCT meeting to address bilateral agricultural trade issues.  President-Elect Trump made it clear during the campaign that China’s perceived unfair trade practices will be addressed in his Administration, including labeling the country as a currency manipulator.

© Copyright 2016 Squire Patton Boggs (US) LLP

Analysis of the European Commission’s 2015 Work Programme

Covington_NL

The European Commission’s Work Programme for 2015 falls in line with Juncker’s political guidelines for his Presidency. The overall focus lies on the creation of jobs and economic growth, and the vision is to achieve this through a greener, more digital and more unified European economy. At the same time the Commission has restated its ambition to make regulation leaner and relieve markets from unnecessary administrative burden without compromising the high standards in social, environmental and consumer protection.

The Work Programme stands out from prior ones by its emphasis on discarding a total of 80 proposals that have either not progressed or that are not aligned with the objectives of the new Commission. Amongst the most prominent proposals to be withdrawn are the directive for the taxation of energy products and electricity, and the directive on the reduction of national emissions of certain atmospheric pollutants.

Combined with Juncker’s €315 billion investment plan, however, the Commission’s Work Programme is potentially very good news for companies seeking to invest in cutting-edge infrastructure and technologies, but also for those that simply seek to benefit from the single market. There is a renewed focus on a strong European industrial base and the Commission’s introductory note promises measures to improve its competitiveness.

The Commission also intends to work on further pooling sovereignty in economic governance, for example through a Common Consolidated Corporate Tax Base and a Financial Transaction Tax. The focus here is on providing more transparency and a level playing field, mainly in response to the Luxleaks affair. This might imply a revision of state aid rules as well as of the implementation of Juncker’s investment program.

From a broader perspective, the Commission’s Work Programme emphasizes the importance of trade, with the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Agreement (TTIP) at the very top of the priority list of bilateral agreements. The Work Programme also mentions the intention to promote stability at Europe’s borders, although it is likely that internal security matters, e.g. on cross-border crime, cybercrime, terrorism and radicalization, will trump any focus on external policies.

The links below open analysis pieces on topics and initiatives linked to particular sectors, focused on by the Commission:

  • Energy and transport, read the overview here
  • Life sciences, read the overview here
  • ICT and telecoms, read the overview here

The European Commission’s full Work Programme for 2015 can be found here.

ARTICLE BY

OF
© 2014 Covington & Burling LLP

Just the TTIP (Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership): A Review of the Transatlantic Partnership Agreement One Year After It Is Introduced to America

Sheppard Mullin 2012

 

Next week will mark one year since President Obama introduced the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) to the nation in his State of the Union Address.  Although the TTIP received only a brief nod in the President’s speech, the TTIP initiative has moved forward at a stunning pace . . . well, a stunning pace for an international trade negotiation, a process that normally crawls along.  As discussed in this blog, the U.S. and European parties to this proposed partnership set an ambitious goal of finalizing an agreement by the end of 2014.  A year into the process, we take a look at the progress to date and the challenges to come.

TTIP Background

We often hear news of trade agreements and other arrangements designed to increase business between the United States and one or more partner countries.

TTIP is different. It’s bigger.

The European Union and the United States comprise the largest and wealthiest market in the world, accounting for over 54% of the world’s GDP and 40% of the world’s purchasing power.  It follows that even the slightest reduction in marketplace barriers on a scale that large could result in sizeable trade increases and economic benefits.  The European Centre for Economic Policy Research estimates that TTIP could boost U.S. exports to the EU by $300 billion annually and add $125 billion to U.S. GDP each year.

Tariffs between the trading partners are already some of the lowest in the global market.  Accordingly, TTIP focuses on reducing non-tariff-barriers (NTBs) to trade between the United States and Europe.  The proposed NTB reductions include aligning domestic standards, cutting costs imposed by bureaucracy and regulations, and liberalizing trade in services and public procurement.

TTIP Negotiations Thus Far

Over the past year, U.S. and EU representatives have met for three rounds of negotiations – the first round was primarily introductory and the other two were more substantive.  The most recent of these negotiation rounds, completed in December, left the U.S. Trade Representative sanguine.  The USTR stated on its website that, “it is a measure of progress that we are firmly in the phase of discussing proposals on core elements of each of the main negotiating areas, as well as beginning to confront and reconcile our differences on many important issues. We have a lot of work to do in 2014, but I am optimistic about what we’ll be able to accomplish in the coming year.”

TTIP in the Coming Year

The next round of TTIP negotiations will be held in Washington, D.C. from March 16 – 20, 2014.  In this fourth round, negotiators expect to work on the wording of provisions designed to ease compliance with existing rules.  Negotiators also expect to draft agreement language to enable U.S. and EU regulators to work together as they draft their respective domestic regulations in the future.  Specific provisions to be addressed in this fourth round will include rules on food safety and animal and plant health, as well as technical regulations, product standards, and testing and certification procedures.  Taken together, these items are often referred to as “Technical Barriers to Trade” (TBTs).

The Chief Negotiator for the EU made clear that, although this set of negotiations will focus on the reduction of TBTs, “TTIP is not and will not be a deregulation agenda.”

This statement exemplifies the numerous conflicts that the negotiators will face in the coming year.  They will have a mandate to harmonize two regulatory systems, reducing the NTBs and TBTs without overly compromising or placing inordinate burdens on either system.  In other words, the negotiators must aim to reduce regulatory barriers without having a deregulation agenda – a tough target to hit.

From that conundrum, potential snares for the negotiating team only multiply.  Interest groups and protectionist factions from both sides of the Atlantic will continue to actively oppose the partnership.  Some Europeans will raise an objection that the deal gives away too much to American business interests.  Further, the voices of labor unions, consumer advocates, environmental groups and other skeptics in opposition to TTIP may grow louder as the parties get closer to a final agreement.  Finally, political sways – a backlash against NSA monitoring of European communications as well as elections in the U.S. and EU in 2014 – may adversely affect the ongoing negotiations.

TTIP proponents remain optimistic, however, confident that a deal can be completed by the end of 2014.  We will keep an eye on developments and report on how nimbly these negotiators can manage the myriad concerns to achieve a useful partnership for the economies on both sides of the Atlantic.

Article by:

Reid Whitten

Of:

Sheppard, Mullin, Richter & Hampton LLP